August 7th, 2013
Del Mar Pick 6 (Races 3-8)
Today is one of those days as a horseplayer that even though it's a midweek card and the races might not be of a super high caliber, they still mean a lot to the player, because of the possibility of a lucrative payout. Going into today the Del Mar Pick 6 has a carryover of $265,129 and the pool should reach close to $1.5 Million when all is said and done. I'm going to do my best and give my top 3 picks and analysis. Also, before the Pick 6 goes off I will also tweet out how I played the sequence for those that want to follow along.
Third Race
#6 Spring Breeze This Jeff Bonde trained horse looks like she is sitting on a huge effort to me. Last out she ran her career best turf number while sprinting and finishing 2nd in a $5,000 starter allowance at Colonial Downs. This was her first start while being trained by Bonde and I'd expect her to move forward in start #2 for him. She has 2 zippy works over the Del Mar surface so to me it looks like all systems ago.
#2 Metaxa Horse was claimed last out for $16,000 and bumped up to the $20,000 price today. She looks to me sharp right now and if there is one concern is that she likes to run second finishing second four times in 8 starts this year. Should be on on near the lead
#7 Addendum Bejarano shows up riding for Vladimir Cerin today after riding Metaxa in her last. Cerin drops the horse in for $20,000 today after running her for $25,000 tag last time out when she ran 3rd. Most likely will take plenty of $$ at the window with the presence of Bejarano.
Fourth Race
#6 Hugh Knew This looks like one of the more wide open races to me. This 2 year old filly will be stretching out and on the turf today after 2 subpar efforts sprinting evenly where she got in tight quarters in both starts. Sometimes horses like to find trouble and I'm hoping she is not that type and going long and the surface change might be all she needs to wake up
#4 Amy Jane Showed speed sprinting on the turf at Hollywood Park so I find it interesting that trainer Peter Miller adds blinkers as he stretches her out. Typically that means she might show more speed and if Gomez can't settle her speed she could be absolutely quarter horsing up front. Peter Miller is a good enough trainer he must have a great reason for adding the blinks. This horse looks dangerous on paper
#3 Sierra Electrica Comes out of the same turf sprint as Amy Jane and she too appears to be a filly with a lot of talent and should handle the stetchout just fine. Trainer Kristin Mulhall and jockey Joe Talamo have done some great work together this year at a 20% clip. She wouldn't have to improve much to win this wide open race
Fifth Race
#3 Tribal Tattoo This Doug O'Neill trained horse drops from Filly Statebred $50,000 Maiden Claiming into open $30,000 MCL today. Last time a few weeks ago she flashed speed and gave away after taking a little action at the window. She had another zippy work about 10 days ago and I tihnk she is going to be ultra tough today against a short, weak field
#6 Union Blaze This is the new face on the scene and against a weak group sometimes if the new shooter just runs a little bit they are going to be right there. This horse is bred to take to the synthetic surface and has a nice series of drills.
#4 Sunrisa Sunrisa
Walter Solis drops the horse in for $30,000 today after a short freshening. It's appealing to me that he leaves the blinkers on her today and maybe she'll give a better effort of herself today
Sixth Race
#3 Charm the Maker At 6-1 on the morning line this is a bit of an upset pick for me but I think a combination of cutting back to a sprint for her return and getting back on the Del Mar surface where she is 1 for 1 might be a nice combination for her. She will probably be trying to make a huge move around the turn and heading for home. There appears to be enough pace in the race to set up for her if Ron McAnally has her fit and sharp for her return
#9 Minds Eyes Lightly raced 4 year old for John Sadler seems to be sharp and improving. She just missed sprinting over the Del Mar turf a few weeks ago. Jockey Julien LeParoux back aboard today after a good workout at Hollywood park a week ago
#4 Tribal Gal This is my longshot speed horse at 15-1 on the ML in case someone were to get loose up front. She broke her maiden here last year at Del Mar taking them gate to wire and now exits her best career dirt effort as she finished 3rd in a small stake at Pleasanton. This horse really only has one running style and that is to go to the lead and try and steal it. Martin Garcia is an aggressive rider and expect him to quarter horse her to the lead
Seventh Race
#2 Concave This filly makes career start #2 for Doug O'Neill today. In her first she dazzled over the turf at Hollywood Park winning by over 3 lengths. One long work over the Del Mar surface since that Maiden score. The only question seems to be if 6.5 furlongs will be a bit too long for her
#5 Stop Smiling This horse also broke her maiden first asking and at a nice 15-1 price for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. She may have even surprised the barn that day, but now they realize they may have a real runner on their hands. She will probably sit a very nice stalking trip and try to pass many of them late
#4 She's a Tiger This is one fast filly but I'm afraid she might be her own worst enemy today as she will try and engage with the other speed horse in the race. Bonde may just hope that she is faster than the 1 horse but to me that seems bad news for her to get a clear lead so I'm going to try and beat her today.
Eighth Race
#10 Sri's Red First timer running under Jerry Quinn's name who is Carla Gaines assistant. All Gaines horses will run under Quinn's name until she returns from her 30 day medication suspension. This filly has been working beautifully and I think she catches a group of horses where several horses have had more than enough chances to break their maidens. If she is ready first time, it will probably also show up at window. Watch the tote action but looks super LIVE
#9 Bridle Plan
She has only one lifetime race and actually ran a nice 4th sprinting over the turf at Hollywood Park. She should like the switch to the Del Mar synthetic surface and it wouldn't take much improvement today to be getting her picture taken. Might fly a little under the radar running for a small barn with an 8% rider in Saul Arias
#4 That's a Bingo Been off since the end of May but today returns to sprinting and has the addition of blinkers. At 15-1 this horse might just be worth taking a chance on against this less than stellar group. Could light up the tote board
Good Luck today if you are playing the Pick 6 or just playing the Races. Thank you for reading! Questions or comments feel free to email me at JimmyQRacing@yahoo.com
All the Best
JimmyQ
No comments:
Post a Comment