August 17, 2013
On to a 10 race card for Saturday that looks highly competitive. I'm going to get right into my picks and analysis
BEST BET ON THE CARD
Race 10 #2 Star Vesta
First Race
#7 Ginger Tap
She stretches out making her 3rd career start and trainer Neil Drysdale has been nice and patient with her, which he is known to do. She is bred to love the extra distance and if she steps forward today she is a winner
#1 Indygo F M A
This will be the second time she has worn blinkers and I do like that since her last effort where she ran 2nd that trainer Peter Eurton has put 6 works into her to allow her to get better used to her equipment change. Looks like they are working to keep her focused
#5 Playful Humor
The other Drysdale trainer horse. They shipped her up north for her last start looking for a softer spot to break her maiden but instead she disappointed as the betting choice favorite. The blinkers remain off and she should run better today
Second Race
#7 Meinertzhageni
An impressive debut for this 2 year old filly where she ran a distant second to a much the best winner. Bonde turns right around and runs her back 2 weeks later so he must have been really encouraged of how she came out of the race
#4 Singleinthelast
Second start for trainer Eric Kruijac. Blinkers go on for this filly and Kruijac is 24% with this move. Should move forward today
#6 Cal Gal
Ran a very good first race where she was very close to the pace. Doug O'Neill puts 2 endurance works into her and you must respect anything he does right on as the barn is rolling
Third Race
#8 Bench Beauty
The down side is she is 1 for 20 but the upside is she really looks to be improving and working in the right direction. She stretches out today and I think this is exactly what she wants to do and will find herself back in the winners circle today. Also with Joe Steiner aboard we will get a fair price
#2 Chesnut Moon
This horse drops down into this level and really should enjoy this class relief. She is 0 for 4 when going a mile but they were always against tougher than she'll face today
#1 Hard Buns
This is your morning line favorite who graduated quite easily in her last start. Note this was when the track was favoring speed quite a bit so I don't know how much you can validate horses that went wire to wire in the opening week but you must respect as Bejarano rides back
Fourth Race
#8 Yes Yes Yes
This colt out of City Zip has been working beautifully over the track. Mike Smith aboard for this firster obviously shows he has talent
#2 Can the Man
This 2 year old is working lights out for Bob Baffert and take note if he wins and runs big he has also been training in company with another colt that Baffert sends out in the sixth race
#3 Maximinus
Some good works for this 2 year old and with Baze in town for the Del Mar Oaks Bonde is able to get him to ride this firster. The two of them are 32% together when the team up but that damage is down up north
Fifth Race
#5 Kid Edward
This might as well be a stakes race with the lineup we have in this field. It is a very difficult race to handicap but I'm going with the lightly raced 6 year old for James Cassidy. He will need to move forward today to beat this group but more than capable
#8 Rock Me Baby
This is a super fast 4 year old gelding and probably your post time favorite. He always seems to get pounded at the window so you typically don't get much of a price on him. My only question is if turf really is his best surface
#6 Bio Pro
Shocked last time at 19-1 and he continues to improve. While many in this field seem to be in the back half of their careers and on the downside this guy looks to be improving which is an excellent sign. Should get double digits again today
Sixth Race
#3 Little Shack
This is the second time out for this colt out of the Hollendorfer barn. Blinkers added for start #2 and the addition of apprentice rider Orozo means they might be looking for speed. Take note Orozco is 4 for 9 this year when Hollendorfer calls on him
#4 New Year's Day
Another impressive Baffert horse who was working in company with the other colt from the fourth. Take note if his horse runs big in the 4th probably a good indication this was is equally as live. The down side is the horse will probably be a short price if that is the case
#5 My Secret Affair
Interesting that Rafael Bejarano shows up for trainer Mark Glatt b/c when he does it usually means Glatt has a live one. Workouts have been dazzling some all signs say this one is a runner
Seventh Race
#11 Germany Bay
This one has really work up after some time off last year to get healthy and maybe even gelded. The outside post should give LeParoux the versatility to pick his trip
#8 Red Creme
This one is sharp right now and looks like he could sit just off the pace if he didn't go to the lead. A solid work pattern for this 5 year old gelding
#5 Master Cip
Blinkers come off today on this 4 year old colt as he changes barns back to Bob Hess where he was early in his 3 year old career. He seems to be a much improved horse since Hess last saw him. This is the first time racing on the Del Mar surface but works have been very encouraging
Eighth Race
#1 Wishing Gate
This 3 year old filly is moving in a great direction and seems to be improving not only in the morning but in the afternoon. She should stalk the pace and try to outfinish them in the lane and this is exactly jockey Garrett Gomez's strength so he migh be a perfect fit for her
#4 Emotional Kitten
Another filly who has been improving drastically and you have to take note of that last effort as she just lost to an exceptional filly in Emollient.
#7 Doinghardtimeagain
Looks to be a pace presence in this field and will be a decent price. Bejarano rides for Hollendorfer here where they are 31% together. We'll find out how good she is today as 4 of her 5 wins have come against statebred company.
Ninth Race
#1 Say's Who
Third start for this Peter Miller trained filly. Second effort without the blinkers and she seems to be ready to take another step forward today
#8 Heaven and Earth
You must respect any firster out of the Hollendorfer barn and he has been ultra patient with her. LeParoux aboard for Hollendorfer and they strike at 30% together. Respect
#4 Feature Attraction
Second time out for Mike Harrington where in her first effort she was off slow and always trailing the field. If the light bulb comes on today she would also light up the tote board as she'll be a giant price
Tenth Race
#2 Star Vesta
You have to love the patience Hollendorfer had with this one and basically running her to the rules meaning she was entered last time in a claiming 12,500 but wasn't for sale that day she she had been off since last September. This was a rule adopted a while back to encourage horseman to give banged up horses the necessary time off to heal. Regardless, she won by 7 that day and today he enters her in a protected situation and has been working awesome. BEST BET on the card for me
#10 Acenda
This one is sneaky to me and in her second start of the year stretches out and returns to the Del Mar main track where she did break her maiden last year. Sneaky one
#1 Corlett Drive
John Sadler has freshened this one up a bit while putting several solid works into her. He keeps her going long today which is a good indication that she'll run better than her last where she disappointed as the race time favorite
Best of Luck out there today
JimmyQ
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